Nate Silver, a liberal egghead who gave Hillary Clinton a 72% win the White House in 2016 looks like he is hedging his bets for Tuesday’s elections. All year long, Silver has been predicted a Democrat ‘blue wave’ for the mid-term elections. With just two days to go before the, Silver appears to be hedging his bets and is backing away from with “certainty” of a blue wave election. It’s really quite funny to witness Silver slither away from his year long predictions.
| Nate Silver worried ‘blue wave’ he predicted would’t happen |
|---|
|
This last set of Upshot/Siena polls has been pretty good for D's. They're polling in 11 districts now, and on average, the polls are coming in about 2-3 points better for Dems than the 538 Classic forecast from before the poll was entered.
— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) November 3, 2018
I'm not at all convinced there's movement nationally toward Democrats—the generic ballot has been very flat. But, they may be closing well in swing districts because of their big spending advantage, which ought to be a bit scary for R's.
— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) November 3, 2018
Could it be that not only are Democrats losing in polls of so called “toss up districts” but are also seeing more of their “safe and lean” district shifting to toss-up status? There are three Democrat seats alone in Minnesota that are now either lean Republican or toss up. Recently Democrat seats in New Hampshire and Arizona, labeled as “lean Democrat” by most so called “experts” are suddenly shifting to toss up.
If early voting is any indication of how Tuesday will go, not only will there not be a ‘blue wave’, but Democrats will see little if any gains in the House and suffer substantial losses in the Senate. The media meltdown will be spectacular!